Mumbai numbers

12:31 pm December 10th, 2008 by John Griffiths

The War Nerd and I are in agreement. The claimed number of Mumbai attackers has more to do with how many the Indian’s can account for now than it does about how many who accurately attacked.

He reckons 23 attackers is a better number than 10.

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A new crop of rental scams

9:44 am December 10th, 2008 by John Griffiths

The Washington Post has a good look at new and exciting opportunities for fraud coming out of the housing debacle in the US.

I particularly liked the enterprising fellows breaking into derelict houses, re-keying them, and then renting them out.

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Mumbai - ignorance is scary

3:34 pm November 29th, 2008 by John Griffiths

The most curious thing about the All Mumbai, All The Time media circus is just how little is known.

We can hear interviews with victims, complete with background explosions. But at the end of the day the victims have less idea what is going on than do the newsroom anchors interviewing them. We’re just listening for the frisson of fear and a dirty hope someone might die while we’re listening.

The New York Times has some detail on how the attack was launched. Even then it asks more questions than it answers.

Who did this? What exactly was it that they did? What did they hope to achieve?

The organisation was so very good for such small time objectives. And these guys know how to shoot straight, so they’ve done more fighting than the average terror training camp provides.

Pakistani regular forces trying to provoke a broader conflict is the only thing that makes any sort of sense.

UPDATED: Now here’s something interesting in the Washington Post:

Three days before the Mumbai atrocities, Zardari disbanded the political wing of the military’s notorious Inter-Services Intelligence agency”

The attack would have been planned long in advance. But a Pakistani PM who had to be brought down makes more sense than anything else here.

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What new disasters can we predict from the financial collapse?

9:44 pm November 26th, 2008 by John Griffiths

In 1989 Michael Lewis wrote an excellent guide to what was wrong with the financial sector in the book “Liar’s Poker”.

I’ve been quiet lately, struggling to think of something perspicacious to add to the slaughter in world finance.

Fortunately Lewis has written a lengthy essay in Conde Nast’s Portfolio.com making the point better than I could have.

But what it comes down to is too much wishful thinking that the power of the market can be inherently beneficial.

A hammer is powerful world changing tool, just like financial markets. But it can stave in your head as easily (perhaps more easily) as it can drive in a nail.

The particular problem in the markets at the moment is that bad mortgages were made and then treated like traditional mortgages (the ones where a grumpy bank manager denies finance to all but the most deserving).

The reason for that is the Clinton administration thought that with just a little tweaking the mortgage markets could solve social issues around home ownership.

Yes, then the markets were utterly culpable in not sandboxing these dodgy loans and treating them as the dangerous things they were. The failure of imagination which never asked what would happen to ballooning real estate prices when all the newly eligible, and unable to repay, had bought their ludicrous houses was particularly egregious. I was asking this question 10 years ago and I don’t get paid millions to ponder it.

Here in Australia with the collapse of ABC Learning we’re seeing a related issue. Fast Eddie Groves house of cards fell down when the easy money dried up.

But before that the Government hoped the marketplace could solve the childcare issue without any need for real responsibility to be taken. It was lead into this view by a minister who found employment with ABC Learning the moment the electorate tired of him, and a preponderance of child care operators in the ranks of the Liberal Party might well have had something to do with this wishful thinking.

Setting up child care operators as tax-farmers was always as flawed a proposition as hoping mortgage providers could solve housing issues without consequence.

So where else have hopeful politicians forced the public into market solutions without any clear understanding of how the magic actually works?

Superannuation.

With the Labor Party effectively (via the industry funds which all but share office space with their headquarters and have connecting doors down on Sussex Street) running nearly half the nation’s superannuation it’s going to get particularly ugly when this one goes titsup.

Any others dear reader?

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Video chat comes to Gmail.

11:05 am November 14th, 2008 by John Griffiths

Now here’s an interesting announcement on video chat now available in gmail.

Goodbye Skype you resource pig!

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What other sectors should we be propping up?

9:21 am November 12th, 2008 by John Griffiths

There’s a plethora of news on Government money pouring in to try and shore up motor vehicle production in Australia.

The argument for it is that as long as we can make cars we can make other things should we be cut off from the world by conflict.

For many years successive governments have worked hard to make sure other key industries are retained on shore. Pharmaceutical precursor chemicals being first to mind amongst these.

The trouble is this list would have made sense in, oh say 1940. But it’s missing a few things today.

What sort of cars and drugs are we going to make without semi-conductors (computer chips)?

There was an effort to get a semi-conductor industry going a few years ago. But the first stage, the charcoal factory needed before we could start silicon smelting died at the hand of Mogo activists on the NSW South Coast.

But as an exercise for you, dear readers, are there other precursor industries a 21st century government should be maintaining in the interest of self-sufficiency?

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America now broken enough to accept a black man?

12:42 pm November 6th, 2008 by John Griffiths

The Onion has a wonderful piece on what it’s taken for America to finally elect a progressive black politician to the presidency:

“”To elect a black man, in this country, and at this time—these last eight years must have really broken you.”

“Obama had the foresight to run for president at a time when being an African-American was not as important to Americans as, say, the ability to clothe and feed their children,” Pung continued. “An election like this only comes once, maybe twice, in a lifetime.”

As we enter a new era of equality for all people, the election of Barack Obama will decidedly be a milestone in U.S. history, undeniable proof that Americans, when pushed to the very brink, are willing to look past outward appearances and judge a person by the quality of his character and strength of his record. So as long as that person is not a woman.

If not for the implosion of the banking system it could well have gone the other way.

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Why I’m not going to an election party

7:03 am November 5th, 2008 by John Griffiths

Well today (probably) we find out who’s new leader of the free world.

Studies I’ve seen have Obama winning today 19 times out of 20. Which leaves McCain still in the race.

That he’s managed to stay in there at all after what his party has done to his country must surely be regarded as a miracle.

I’d be sad to see either candidate lose, but I think I’ll be slightly sadder for America if Obama loses.

The real tragedy is that McCain didn’t get to be president in 2000.

He’s too old and while he’s probably right, that the corruption of congress is the greatest threat to America, tackling that is going to only come from a president with a commanding majority in the house and senate.

Fascinating theatre as always though.

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Dresden Dolls - “Oasis” - 2 minutes of spiteful cultural warfare

7:43 am November 1st, 2008 by John Griffiths


In the possible hope of being condemned from the campaign trail Amanda Palmer of the Dresden Dolls has dedicated her latest pop-laden piece of delightful malice to the now iconic Sarah Palin.

Apparently Ben Folds has produced the upcoming album “Who killed Amanda Palmer”. On the basis of this track the collaboration has really paid off with the up-beat Folds touch meshing well with the deep inner darkness of the Dresden Dolls.

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Hobby rocketry Iraqi style

9:46 am October 27th, 2008 by John Griffiths


The War Nerd has a recent story on the clever techniques Iraqi insurgents are using to lob explosives in the general direction of American soldiers. While the video (hit the story link email readers) is made about as poorly as it’s possible to make video it’s still eerily fascinating.

Particularly the way the rocketeers look like normal suburban dads arseing around on a Saturday afternoon. Even more terrifying is the odds that they’ll end up blowing up their countrymen rather than any of their enemy but they don’t appear to have any concern about it at all.

Video and article highly recommended but I suggest taking the war nerd with a grain of salt more generally. He’s very Russo-centric.

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