In 1989 Michael Lewis wrote an excellent guide to what was wrong with the financial sector in the book “Liar’s Poker”.
I’ve been quiet lately, struggling to think of something perspicacious to add to the slaughter in world finance.
Fortunately Lewis has written a lengthy essay in Conde Nast’s Portfolio.com making the point better than I could have.
But what it comes down to is too much wishful thinking that the power of the market can be inherently beneficial.
A hammer is powerful world changing tool, just like financial markets. But it can stave in your head as easily (perhaps more easily) as it can drive in a nail.
The particular problem in the markets at the moment is that bad mortgages were made and then treated like traditional mortgages (the ones where a grumpy bank manager denies finance to all but the most deserving).
The reason for that is the Clinton administration thought that with just a little tweaking the mortgage markets could solve social issues around home ownership.
Yes, then the markets were utterly culpable in not sandboxing these dodgy loans and treating them as the dangerous things they were. The failure of imagination which never asked what would happen to ballooning real estate prices when all the newly eligible, and unable to repay, had bought their ludicrous houses was particularly egregious. I was asking this question 10 years ago and I don’t get paid millions to ponder it.
Here in Australia with the collapse of ABC Learning we’re seeing a related issue. Fast Eddie Groves house of cards fell down when the easy money dried up.
But before that the Government hoped the marketplace could solve the childcare issue without any need for real responsibility to be taken. It was lead into this view by a minister who found employment with ABC Learning the moment the electorate tired of him, and a preponderance of child care operators in the ranks of the Liberal Party might well have had something to do with this wishful thinking.
Setting up child care operators as tax-farmers was always as flawed a proposition as hoping mortgage providers could solve housing issues without consequence.
So where else have hopeful politicians forced the public into market solutions without any clear understanding of how the magic actually works?
Superannuation.
With the Labor Party effectively (via the industry funds which all but share office space with their headquarters and have connecting doors down on Sussex Street) running nearly half the nation’s superannuation it’s going to get particularly ugly when this one goes titsup.
Any others dear reader?